Getachew reda message about Ukraine

Two weeks have passed since he began a military conflict in the Tigray region of Ethiopia between the regional forces and the Federal Army of Ethiopia. Some analysts fear that it can escalate even more, which leads to the disintegration of the country, which would have important economic and political repercussions for all countries in the Horn of Africa. But the fundamental causes of the conflict are poorly understood.

External observers and analysts tend to see the next cause as a recent disagreement between regional leaders and the federal government, which is led by the Nobel Prime Minister of Peace, Abiy Ahmed, with respect to the constitutionality of the decision of Parliament of postponing the Regional and Regional. Elections due to Covid-19. The regional leaders of Tigra retained a choice of challenge to that decision, in which to govern the front of the Liberation of the Tigray People (TPF) won all seats, and the result was declared null and empty manner by the country's parliament .

Others identify the prevailing ideological differences between Abiy and the PLF as the key source of friction. However, these arguments do not explain why such differences would lead to military confrontation. That is because they are not the underlying causes of the conflict at all.

This war is, ultimately, a battle for the control of Ethiopia's economy, its natural resources and thousands of millions of dollars, the country annually receives donors and international lenders. Access to these riches is a function of who heads the federal government, which the PLF controlled for almost three decades before Abiy came to power in April 2018, after the generalized protests against the cultivated government.

In other words, this is not a conflict about who comes to rule Tigray, a small region whose population represents a mere 6 percent of the more than 110 million people in Ethiopia. It is a fight about who manages to dominate the dominant heights of the country's economy, a prize that Tigray's regional leaders stayed once and are determined to recover at any cost.